ECB Ready to Expand Stimulus Program -- Update
September 03 2015 - 9:48AM
Dow Jones News
By Todd Buell in Frankfurt and Paul Hannon in London
FRANKFURT--European Central Bank President Mario Draghi on
Thursday indicated that the bank stands ready to expand its
stimulus programs and projected slower-than-expected economic
growth in the eurozone, as well as lower inflation rates. as a
result of the slowdown in some large developing economies.
In a news conference, Mr. Draghi stressed the central bank's
"willingness and ability to act if warranted," suggesting the ECB
could broaden its stimulus programs to ensure inflation rises to a
target rate of just under 2%.
Mr. Draghi said an "interim evaluation" of the impact of recent
turbulence in global financial markets and signs of a slowdown in
China, points to "continued, though somewhat weaker economic
recovery, and a slower increase in inflation rates compared with
recent expectations."
However, he added that while the "downside risks" to growth and
inflation have increased, it was possible recent developments would
be "mainly transitory."
Earlier Thursday, the ECB left its main policy rate for its
regular loans to banks at 0.05%. It also left its deposit rate, the
rate it pays for banks to park excess funds overnight, at minus
0.20%, meaning that banks continue to pay to park cash with the
ECB.
Since March, the ECB has purchased EUR60 billion ($68 billion) a
month in mostly government bonds in an effort to revive inflation
and growth in the currency bloc by adding to the money supply. The
program is intended to run through September 2016, or until
inflation is back to target.
Recent data on bank lending to households and companies suggest
the ECB's stimulus is starting to find its way into the economy.
But there is concern that QE isn't doing enough to bring inflation
back to the ECB's medium-term target of just below 2%.
The most recent data, published Monday, showed annual inflation
in the currency bloc at only 0.2% in August.
Lower energy prices and upward pressure on the euro, stemming
from uncertainty about the timing of rate rises in the U.S., are
keeping consumer price pressures subdued. Meanwhile, signs of
slowing in China have raised concerns that European exports may not
be as strong as expected.
The ECB's economists lowered their forecasts for inflation over
coming years, and indication that policy makers may have to expand
their bond buying program if they are to succeed in raising the
inflation rate to their target.
The economists now expect an inflation rate of 0.1% in 2015,
1.1% in 2016 and 1.7% in 2017. In June, they forecast a rate of
1.8% in 2017, up from 1.5% in 2016 and 0.3% this year.
Write to Todd Buell at todd.buell@wsj.com and Paul Hannon at
paul.hannon@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 03, 2015 09:33 ET (13:33 GMT)
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