BOND REPORT: Treasury Yields Fall As ECB Vows To Continue Stimulus
September 03 2015 - 10:07AM
Dow Jones News
By Ellie Ismailidou, MarketWatch
Meanwhile, jobless claims in the U.S. rose to two-month high
Treasury yields declined Thursday as the head of the European
Central Bank emphasized a "willingness" to provide more stimulus if
needed, while U.S. investors continued to debate the timing of a
possible interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve.
ECB President Mario Draghi told a news conference that the
central bank is committed to maintaining its bond-buying program
through September 2016, as scheduled, or "beyond" if necessary.
The central bank is keeping an eye on turmoil in financial
markets, concerns about China, and falling oil prices.
"Surely Draghi is behind the [Treasury] bid," David Ader, head
of government bond strategy at CRT Capital Group, said in a
Thursday note.
Another boost for Treasurys came after the U.S. Labor Department
said the number of people that applied for unemployment benefits
rose at the end of August to the highest level in two months.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note fell 2.6
basis points to 2.165%. The yield on the two-year note declined by
2.4 basis points to 0.696%. The yield on the 30-year bond slipped
2.2 basis point to 2.943%. Yields and bond prices move in opposite
directions.
The jobless-claims report gave investors further hints on the
state of the labor market ahead of the closely-watched monthly jobs
report due Friday. That in turn could determine whether the
data-dependent Federal Reserve could raise interest rates this
month for the first time in nearly a decade.
Recent data showed that "the labor market is improving gradually
and moderately....but that doesn't give the Treasury market much
direction because of the economic slowdown in the rest of the
world," said James Kochan, chief fixed-income strategist at Wells
Fargo Funds Management.
Ader also recommended "leaning bullishly" on Treasurys, citing
among other reasons "leveraging volatility in a mixed
portfolio."
In recent days, "volatility generated in other markets simply
forced a certain set of positions to unwind [in the Treasury
market]," Ader said.
Now investors' eyes are on Friday's jobs report, after Automatic
Data Processing Inc. reported a 190,000 increase in private-sector
payrolls.
Friday's jobs report should disappoint "the crowd looking for a
September rate hike" as ADP "forewarned of potentially weaker data
tomorrow," Tom di Galoma, head of rates and credit trading at ED
& F Man Capital Markets, said in a note.
"I would consider buying dips as the 10-year and 30-year sell
off on any stronger-than-anticipated economic data," di Galoma
added.
European government bond yields declined, while stock markets
rallied after Draghi appeared committed to the stimulus that
brought rates in the eurozone to record lows earlier this year.
The yield on the benchmark German 10-year bund fell 5.7 basis
points to 0.734%. The yield has gained about 59 basis points since
April 20, when it reached its all-time low at 0.073%.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
September 03, 2015 09:52 ET (13:52 GMT)
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