CURRENCIES: Euro Notches 7-month Low On Talk ECB Could Widen Purchases
November 25 2015 - 3:41PM
Dow Jones News
By Anora Mahmudova, MarketWatch , Kosaku Narioka
Shared currency trims decline in preholiday trade
The euro trimmed its decline versus the dollar Wednesday after
falling to a seven-month low following a news report that said the
European Central Bank was considering a range of further monetary
policy measures to shore up the eurozone economy.
The drop in the euro tracked a fall in German government yield
bonds after news reports that the European Central Bank was
considering further measures to shore up the eurozone economy.
Reuters reported
(http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/11/25/uk-ecb-policy-meeting-idUKKBN0TE0T220151125)
that European Central Bank policy makers have considered adding
purchases of regional bonds and even rebundled loans with a risk of
nonpayment.
The two-year yield on German government debt initially fell
further to negative 0.4%, taking the euro , which is closely
correlated with it to trade as low as at $1,057 in early trade. The
currency was trading at $1.0619 Wednesday, from $1.0654 late
Tuesday.
"Euro got hit earlier all due to news reports that the ECB will
be easing further, but bounced up from its $1.05 support level,
which remains pretty strong," said Boris Schlossberg, managing
director of FX strategy at BK Asset Management.
"For the euro to breach that support level, either the ECB will
need to expand its QE program by more than currently anticipated or
the Fed would have to signal a very aggressive rate hike path.
Neither of these seem likely at this point," Schlossberg said.
Schlossberg noted that the moves this week may also be
exacerbated by low liquidity due to holiday-shortened week. U.S.
financial markets will be closed Thursday for the Thanksgiving Day
holiday.
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/when-do-markets-close-around-thanksgiving-2015-11-23)
"Today's choppy trade suggests liquidity was rather low with
some late-day profit-taking in the dollar trade," he said.
The U.S. dollar trimmed earlier gains, with the ICE U.S. Dollar
Index rising 0.3% to 99.82. In early trade the index traded above
100.
The dollar rose to Yen122.75 from Yen122.43 late Tuesday in New
York
Analysts noted that Wednesday's economic data came in mostly in
line or above expectations, suggesting the Federal Reserve is
likely to raise interest rates in its next meeting in December.
Analysts noted that the appreciation of the dollar so far has
already priced in a rate increase in December, and that further
appreciation is unlikely if the Fed takes a slow approach to
subsequent rate increases.
In Wednesday's economic news, weekly jobless claims
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-jobless-claims-drop-12000-to-260000-2015-11-25)fell
to 260,000 last week, near the lowest level in years. Consumer
spending
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-spending-barely-rises-again-in-october-2015-11-25)
rose slowly in October for the second straight month, as Americans
boosted savings and spent less on new cars and trucks. Meanwhile,
U.S. orders for long-lasting or durable goods
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/durable-goods-orders-snap-back-in-october-2015-11-25)rebounded
in October to show the first increase in three months. New home
sales rebounded in October
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/new-home-sales-jump-107-but-industry-is-treading-water-2015-11-25),
but the underlying trend continues to move sideways.
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
November 25, 2015 15:26 ET (20:26 GMT)
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